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Ryan Zimmerman's DL Stint w/Charlie Sheen

The Washington Nationals have an 8-7 record in this young season.* They have managed to actually have a better record since Ryan Zimmerman went down with an abdominal injury. They went 3-5 with Zimmerman and 5-2 without him.

*To help all of us enjoy early-season baseball with more perspective, may we suggest reading Joe Posnanski's post on a 16-game baseball season.

A few minutes ago, we got a glimpse of Ryan Zimmerman in the clubhouse with a special guest.

Ryan Zimmerman's DL Stint w/Charlie Sheen
At least Charlie Sheen's always been a baseball guy.

Charlie Sheen is an interesting guy to run into anytime. Simply to name drop, I casually ran into him at the Peninsula Beverly Hills about ten years ago. I was in the lobby waiting for my father, while he walked in and asked for the spa because he had a massage.

Back to baseball, it's funny for Zimmerman to run into Wild Thing while on the DL because of the common bond that they should both be doing rehab.

3-Pitch Stars, NL Edition

We're looking at Fangraphs's remarkable pitch value data today in an effort to find pitchers with the highest cumulative score of their three best pitches. Although we're still in the midsts of small sample size warnings, we are looking just at 2011 numbers so that players like Phil Hughes and Pedro Feliciano don't rate too highly. Actually, looking at top 3 pitches, instead of top 2, will keep most relief pitchers off the list. We're also looking at pitchers with a minimum of 10 innings pitched this season. If this goes well, we'll look at AL pitchers later in the week.

Showing our work - to be clear, we're looking at the pitch value per 100 pitches statistic over at Fangraphs. Adding the scores for players's top 3 pitches, only for pitchers with at least three pitches with above average values, and listing the Top 10 here:

3-Pitch Stars, NL Edition
Sam LeCure's flown under
our radar until right now.
Sam LeCure, Reds, 23.6
Aaron Harang, Padres, 18.5
Clayton Richard, Padres, 15.3
Tommy Hanson, Braves, 14.5
Shaun Marcum, Brewers, 13.1
Tim Hudson, Braves, 12.6
Jhoulys Chacin, Rockies, 12.1
Josh Johnson, Marlins, 11.5
Barry Zito, Giants, 11.3
Travis Wood, Reds, 10.9

Time will tell how effective these guys will be moving forward. Looking at the weighted values of their top 3 pitches suggests they've started this season off promisingly.

After getting through this exercise, I think we are going to give it a bit more time - to get a little further away from the small sample size era. Then, we will look at the players with the best (most valuable per 100 pitches according to fangraphs) pitch in baseball, the best 2 pitches, the best 3 pitches, and the best 4 pitches. I think that'll be fun and don't really want to wait before doing it. Maybe we'll do it soon and again later in the year.

Grounders and Pop Ups

It's still a bit early for any 2011 statistic to mean very much in the grand scheme of things, but it can be insightful to get a head start looking at certain statistics that aren't printed in The Sporting News. In this case, we'll compare 2011 rate stats to the rate stats of combined 2010 and 2011 data.

As we've discussed in the past, in an ideal world, it's best to get pitchers who strike out a lot of batters and walk very few. In addition, pitchers who induce ground balls and popups are preferred to fly ball pitchers.

2011 GB%+IFFB% Leaders
Grounders and Pop Ups
Yovani Gallardo, Brewers 82.4%
Charlie Morton, Pirates 82%
Tim Lincecum, Giants 75.9%
Roy Oswalt, Phillies 75.8%
Tim Stauffer, Padres 75%
Zach Britton, Orioles 74.5%
Matt Harrison, Rangers 74.2%
Brett Anderson, Athletics 73.6%
Francisco Liriano, Twins 73.2%
Jaime Garcia, Cardinals 72.9%

2010-11 GB%+IFFB% Leaders
Grounders and Pop Ups
Blaine Boyer, Mets 77.2%
Sean Green, Brewers 73.4%
Ryan Webb, Marlins 70%
Jamey Wright, Mariners 69.5%
Randy Choate, Marlins 68.5%
Bobby Cassevah, Angels 68.4%
Jordan Walden, Angels 67.1%
Joe Martinez*, Indians 66.4%
Javier Lopez, Giants 66.2%
Takashi Saito, Brewers 64.6%
Todd Coffey, Nationals 63.5%

*Martinez is currently pitching out of the bullpen for the Triple-A Columbus Clippers and waiting for a call-up to the Indians. His numbers are only from the 2010 season.

If a player can combine good strikeout ability with high numbers in the categories above, there will be a lot of clean innings. Maybe we'll take a look at batted ball data through the lens of Line Drive %, Fly Ball %, and Homerun/Flyball %. That could be a good one to see who's best at it and who's worst.

Change of Pace

Which pitchers have had the largest difference in average velocity between their fastball and change-up? According to fangraphs:

National League
Travis Wood, Reds 90 - 78 = 12.1
Daniel Hudson, Diamondbacks 94 - 83 = 11.2
Edinson Volquez, Reds 94 - 84 = 10.5
Roy Oswalt, Phillies 93 - 83 = 10.1
Jake Westbrook, Indians 89 - 79 = 10.1

American League
David Price, Rays 95 - 82 = 12.6
Clay Buchholz, Red Sox 93 - 81 = 11.7
Jered Weaver, Angels 90 - 79 = 11.5
Luke Hochevar, Royals 91 - 80 = 11
Phil Coke, Tigers 90 - 79 = 11

Change of Pace
There are very interesting names here, and posts like this will be even more useful later in the year, with larger sample sizes.

Have a safe weekend.

Chatty Subway

The fourth car of the #5 express train this morning was abnormally chatty.

A few individuals encroached on my commuting solitude with their annoying and incessant pre-8am conversations. I don't really have much baseball stuff to comment on.

If forced, we could talk about the fun of looking at early standings and suspending disbelief. Look at the AL Central, where the Indians and Royals are tied for 1st place. If every team has hope on Opening Day, what do you call it two weeks later when your crappy team is in 1st place?

Chatty Subway
The good news is Pedro Feliciano
can spend all year with his family.
The Yankees have put a few wins together to lead the AL East. It's not gonna happen, but how great would it be for baseball if their rotation, and now LOOGY, concerns are warranted and the the upstart Orioles and Blue Jays both made the playoffs? I mean, it still seems likely that Toronto and Baltimore will finish in 4th and 5th place, but again, that's not how everyone feels when looking at the the standings on April 15th. A very good friend of mine, Adam B, for years has been preaching to the masses that it's too early to even look at Standings until June or July. He's right.

Okay, just to try something a little different today, let's flashback the the 5 train:

Conversation 1
A man and woman, in their late 40s/early 50s, standing beside the pole at the back of the car.
If social norms were different, I would tell this lady that no-one cares that her son hates his first job out of college. And, can she please speak lower. To the gentleman, you look like a respectable, clean-cut professional. Thanks you for responding to your loud lady friend in a normal volume. While I'm far from being a fashionista, I don't think the charcoal pants, striped shirt, and blue blazer are really working for you today.

Chatty Subway
How do you get to work?
Stopping at Fulton Street shook things up a bit in the car, as people got on and off. I drifted toward the center of the car, where I smashed directly into the crossfire of a real doozie. How could this car be so chatty this morning? Usually, these trains are quiet, aside from the occasional headphones that are too loud.*

Conversation 2
Lady 2, OoMG, you are the worst. The volume, the shrieking, the complaining that your daughter is moving to the Village. Please, for the love of all that is good and Holy, keep it down.
Lady 3, you're blabbing on and on, all I hear is noise. Then, you had to stand out. You were soooo upset? Really? Thaaaat upset? Please, be quiet. You are annoying.
When Lady 3 got off the train at Union Square, the loud goodbye began. "Ooooh, this was such a nice commmute!! Way better than just reading the paper." Lady, please.

*On a related note, have you seen those people on the Subway who play music from their smart phones like it's a mini boom box? In the past two weeks, I've come close to confronting a few of these clowns. My main issue with it, besides the discourteousness, is that the sound quality is so terrible when you push those tiny phone speakers to max volume.

Bonus Subway Incident
This is from the same trip, where the three ladies above were basically shouting. At the Union Square stop, a genuine weirdo pushes his way screaming "Excuse me! Excuse me!" He's scrambling to get a seat, like it's musical chairs. The thing is, other people were about to sit down and he totally bogarted a spot by yelling and taking it.

The Old Expos Roundup

Like many things in life, I never appreciated the Expos as much as I should have while they were around. I'm glad there is baseball in the Nation's capital, but did it have to come at the expense of the beautifully bilingual Expos? I got to reminiscing about the Expos last night, when perusing their official twitter feed.

The Old Expos Roundup
Mon Pedro, Good Times!
It seems like almost a lifetime ago, when there was Major League Baseball in Montreal. I was actually somewhat surprised to be reminded that they didn't play in DC until 2005.

Still, how old are the old Expos?

I remember Orlando Cabrera and Nick Johnson, of course. Cliff Floyd is retired, and Mark Grudzielanek recently hung up his cleats.

Maybe Pedro will come back to be someone's 5th starter again.

Is 2004 too distant to create a team, or at least a lineup, of former Montreal Expos who are currently playing somewhere?

As the old tootsie-pops owl would say, let's find out.

The Old Expos Roundup
This is a scary hitter.
C: Brian Schneider
1b: Nick Johnson
2b: Orlando Cabrera
SS: Maicer Izturis
3b: Jamey Carroll
LF: Juan Rivera
CF: Endy Chavez
RF: Vladimir Guerrero
SP: Livan Hernandez
RP: Jon Rauch
PH: Milton Bradley

Man, in 2011, that team stinks.

You'd better believe we'd be calling Pedro's agent, if we really were getting the band back together.

Replacing Ryan Zimmerman

Often times, we'll hear fantasy pundits opine as to whom look to as a replacement for a recently injured player. We do it a lot over here, too. This time, it's personal, as Ryan Zimmerman was the 2nd Round pick of our new Good Friends team. Right now, the team is actually currently named Upton & Upton, since we have both brothers paroling our virtual Outfield.

Replacing Ryan Zimmerman
Hurry back, bud.
A few years ago, good friend Weino suggested we start a blog to write about why we're making the fantasy moves we were making each day. We don't do that so much because I feel people would tire of hearing about our steady, yet unspectacular transactions. Well, here's one that does matter.

With caution, I warn the following may have zero readability. I'm basically taking notes in this space as I decide whom to pick up to play third base while Ryan Zimmerman is on the DL.

Glancing through the list of available free agents and waiver wire, we zone in on: Casey Blake, Sean Rodriguez, Scott Rolen, Danny Valencia, and Ian Stewart.

Our league is weekly, H2H, roto columns, with standard 5x5 stats except OBP and SLG in place of BA and HR.

A few statistics:

Since Opening Day 2008 (last 3+ years)

On Base Percentage
Replacing Ryan Zimmerman
A year or 2 ago, we would've fallen
over backwards to grt Ian Stewart.
Scott Rolen .358
Danny Valencia .343
Casey Blake .344
Ian Stewart .331
Sean Rodriguez .296

Slugging Percentage
Scott Rolen .465
Ian Stewart .449
Casey Blake .446
Danny Valencia .433
Sean Rodriguez .381
Replacing Ryan Zimmerman
Ever notice that Dusty Baker has a
similar body type to Robert Duvall?

Line Drive %
Casey Blake 21.8%
Scott Rolen 21.0%
Ian Stewart 19.5%
Danny Valencia 19.1%
Sean Rodriguez 15.5%

I guess we really don't need to go much deeper than this. It looks like Scott Rolen, as a short-term solution, is the best option.

Replacing Ryan Zimmerman
I hope no-one picks you up
And from the this aught to help you get to sleep section: Whom should we drop? Michael Morse, backup catcher Russell Martin, or SP/RP's David Hernandez or Aaron Crow?

Morse could play for me on Thursday, when others have a day off, but he'll be facing Cliff Lee that day.

We're going to drop him and hope Hernandez or Crow can vulture a win or two this week, while helping out with ERA and K. We also like the depth and insurance that Russ Martin is providing in tandem with Geovany Soto.

To conclude, let us compare Dusty and Duvall...

Replacing Ryan Zimmerman

Replacing Ryan Zimmerman

Already Missing Manny

It was only three days ago. Manny Ramirez just retired this past Friday, and we already miss him.

Manny, you may have been a selfish jerk, a cheater, and a first-class weirdo, but you were always interesting and one of the five best hitters* I've ever seen.

Already Missing Manny
Now that's a cool jersey.

*Real quick, off the top of my head...

Top 5 Hitters I've Ever Seen
1. Albert Pujols
2. Barry Bonds
3. Manny Ramirez
4. Alex Rodriguez
5. Mike Schmidt

Man, there are a lot of other great hitters that came to mind: Chipper Jones, Ken Griffey Jr, Pete Rose, Tony Gwynn, Jim Rice**, Ichiro, Rickey, Boggs, Frank Thomas, Thome, Rod Carew... a lot.

**just kidding about Jim Rice

For our amusement, below are a few more Manny Ramirez images that we find humorous.

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

Already Missing Manny

There are no words that need to be said.



PS - If you don't like our list of Top 5 Lifetime Hitters, make your own list. Heck, even if you like it, please, make your own list in our comments section. It'll be fun. Thanks!