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MLB Bullpen Rankings

In February, we judged every Major League bullpen from the micro perspective. We looked at individual player stats like FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching), HR/9, and K:BB ratio from 2008, '09, and '10, plus Marcel 2011 WHIP projections.

Quickly tonight, I took a macro glance and sorted 2011 team stats including K/9, BB/9, K/BB, HR/9, ERA, FIP, xFIP, and tERA.

The Elite, Best of the Best
Braves
MLB Bullpen Rankings
Expect to see Kimbrel as an All Star
Craig Kimbrel has been the Derek Rose of NL Bullpens.
Giants
Seven out of Nine pitchers in their bullpen have a FIP under 2.94.
Padres
A solid group top to bottom, without a susceptible weak link.
Diamondbacks
Kevin Towers's best work may have been the building of this bullpen over the past seven months.

Acquirable Assets
Pirates
The first big drop in our statistical review gets us to the Pirates, but they're still ranked 5th in all of baseball. If the buccos cannot compete (and they can't), a few of these guys could end up in pennant races with New York, Boston, Tampa, Philadelphia, or someone else.
Nationals
The Nationals feel like they're close to contending, so it's not as if everyone is readily available. Todd Coffey could be in the American League come August.

Expected Contenders, Contending
Athletics
MLB Bullpen Rankings
Another former Cub who's got it goin' on
Our preseason pick for best bullpen is doing quite well, 6th in our study. It's a long season.
Yankees
Unless the Bronx Bombers acquire reinforcements, their bullpen should fade throughout the summer. Their starting rotation is, frankly, a bad joke.
White Sox
Their closer situation, with Sergio Santos, should help solidify the entire bullpen.
Rockies
We've always liked the Betancourt, Lindstrom, Street version of the Nasty Boys. While Huston Street has struggled, the left-handed Matt Reynolds has continued his solid pitching from last season.
Red Sox
MLB Bullpen Rankings
Go ahead, Rich, win a
World Series with Boston.
See if we care.
Papelbon seems to have improved his control, and we expect great things from Daniel Bard. This will be a good group. Bobby Jenks is the X-factor, and his 3.74 FIP suggests his enormous ERA is a mirage. I've always rooted for Rich Hill and wanted the Cubs to reclaim him. So, his success is a little bittersweet.
Brewers
Their best assets are their offense and the front of their rotation. If the bullpen becomes a strength, they could challenge Cincinnati for the NL Central.

MLB's Middle Class
Marlins
Will their semi-annual fade ruin their season around August?
Indians
MLB Bullpen Rankings
So far, it's a 1-man race
for American League
Manager of the Year.
Surprise, surprise, Manny Acta has his musical mojo working so far.
Mets
The Mets are a year, or two, away from being relevant again. Trading K-Rod for anything would help expedite the process.
Mariners
They have money, a front office with brains, a nice stadium, and vast fan support, but their average bullpen isn't turning their below average offense in many Wins.
Cardinals
I agree with Marty Brennaman, that the Cardinals are baseball's most hated team. Kyle McClellan is helping the rotation, but it also left a gaping hole in their efforts to get Outs 22-27.
Blue Jays
This Bullpen should turnover a bit, as they get through the battles of the AL East. They score enough runs and should be in enough games that the bullpen, sadly, looks like their Achilles' heel.
Cubs
Please, don't get me started. Marmol, Wood, and Marshall are very good. It would be nice if they had more Major League talent around them.
Rays
The Rays bullpen was completely revamped in the offseason. They will likely see improvement.
Reds
Aroldis Chapman is becoming an enigma, and Dusty Baker has shown the repeatable skills of winning divisions and destroying young arms.
Dodgers
Poor Don Mattingly could really use a break.
Astros
The Astros shuold get nice and comfy here, near the bottom of the bullpen rankings. Consider it penance for Brandon Lyon, alone.
Tigers
Jim Leyland should figure a way to get through the later innings, as the season goes along. The Tigers are a good bet to improve.
Royals
Joakim Soria has not had a good start to the season, so if he regresses towards his career mean, we could see the Royals winning percentage stay around .500 for this first time in a long time. It would be interesting, more than with any other reliever almost, to see Soria show his brilliance again and get traded to a contender.

Still Searching
MLB Bullpen Rankings
S.O.S. in the Philly Bullpen
Phillies
Lidge and Contreras haven't helped, but this contending team should acquire arms through trades to improve their Phillies bullpen. The cannot count on CG's the rest of the year/postseason.
Orioles
The Orioles bullpen is terrible and should stay that way through next season.

With Regression Alone, Should Improve
Angels
MLB Bullpen Rankings
Expect more from the AL Champs
Jordan Walden, Scott Downs, and Rich Thompson have been great, but that's been it. Mike Scioscia can do better than this.
Twins
Can Joe Nathan help them regain control? Is he a year away? Or is he done?
Rangers
The return of Neftali Feliz will propel the Rangers up this list.

First Cubs Game

It's hard to believe that this is when it started getting serious.

This is the first Cubs game I ever attended:

May 9, 1986

San Diego Padres
Batting AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS WPA
Bip Roberts 2B 4 0 3 0 0 1 .206 .515 -0.048
   Garry Templeton SS 0 0 0 0 0 0 .196 .451 0.000
John Kruk LF 4 0 0 0 0 2 .229 .556 -0.049
Tony Gwynn RF 4 1 2 0 0 1 .345 .898 0.066
Steve Garvey 1B 4 1 1 0 0 0 .232 .667 -0.063
Terry Kennedy C 3 2 1 1 1 0 .223 .670 0.088
Kevin McReynolds CF 3 1 1 3 1 1 .257 .760 0.335
Graig Nettles 3B 4 0 1 1 0 0 .171 .520 -0.053
Tim Flannery SS-2B 3 1 1 1 1 0 .265 .737 0.090
Andy Hawkins P 4 0 0 0 0 1 .214 .429 -0.062
Team Totals 33 6 10 6 3 6 .303 .967 0.304
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/16/2011.

Pitching IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA GSc WPA
Andy Hawkins, W (2-2) 9 5 2 2 1 2 1 4.10 70 0.198
Team Totals 9 5 2 2 1 2 1 2.00 70 0.198
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/16/2011.

Chicago Cubs
Batting AB R H RBI BB SO BA OPS WPA
Shawon Dunston SS 4 0 1 1 0 0 .299 .835 0.058
Gary Matthews LF 4 0 0 0 0 0 .200 .624 -0.068
   Matt Keough P 0 0 0 0 0 0 .250 .500 0.000
Ryne Sandberg 2B 4 0 0 0 0 0 .278 .784 -0.074
Keith Moreland RF 4 0 0 0 0 0 .279 .697 -0.067
Leon Durham 1B 4 0 1 0 0 0 .241 .756 0.017
Jody Davis C 3 0 1 0 0 0 .240 .664 -0.051
Ron Cey 3B 2 1 1 1 1 0 .184 .719 0.103
Jerry Mumphrey CF 3 1 1 0 0 1 .310 .790 -0.009
Rick Sutcliffe P 2 0 0 0 0 1 .188 .688 -0.079
   Ray Fontenot P 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.000
   Terry Francona PH-LF 1 0 0 0 0 0 .250 .500 -0.026
Team Totals 31 2 5 2 1 2 .161 .478 -0.196
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/16/2011.

Pitching IP H R ER BB SO HR ERA GSc WPA
Rick Sutcliffe, L (1-5) 7 7 5 5 2 6 3 4.21 47 -0.302
Ray Fontenot 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 3.86 0.015
Matt Keough 1 2 1 1 1 0 0 3.00 -0.015
Team Totals 9 10 6 6 3 6 3 6.00 47 -0.302
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/16/2011.

First Cubs Game
Ron Cey hit the 1st Cubs' HR I ever saw in person.

Looking at some of these images captured at Wrigley Field during the 1986 season make the memories come flooding back...

First Cubs Game
Love the old scoreboard with no lights and two divisions.

First Cubs Game
That's supposed to be Dwight Gooden pitching.

First Cubs Game
Nolan Ryan reaches back to pitch to Ryne Sandberg

First Cubs Game
This photo has all kinds of Classic, from the fashion, to
the mustache, and of course the paper beer cup.

First Cubs Game
No idea what it is, but I'd still buy whatever Torco sells.

When was your first game? Let's open time capsule.

Rolling Stone's "Happy 70th, Bob!"

And now, for something completely different...

Rolling Stone's "Happy 70th, Bob!"
Happy Birthday!
This month's cover of "Rolling Stone" magazine has a Happy 70th Birthday cover for Bob Dylan, with a headline that promises an article on the 70 greatest Bob Dylan songs.

As uninspired and trivial this exercise seems, I thought it would be fun to come up with my list before perusing theirs.

This list was created on flights to and from Chicago and Newark. As an extra bonus, we'll expand the collection to 100 and include some lyrics from our Top 70.

This is for fun; let us know where our opinions are out of whack.

100. Pledging My Time
99. I Was Young When I Left Home
98. I'm Not There
97. Emotionally Yours
96. Going, Going, Gone
95. Buckets of Rain
94. As I Went Out One Morning
93. Idiot Wind
92. Don't Fall Apart on Me Tonight
91. Shooting Star
90. Caribbean Wind
89. Señor
88. This Wheel's on Fire
87. Everything is Broken
86. Joey
85. Highway 61 Revisited
84. Maggie's Farm
83. It Takes a Lot to Laugh, It Take a Train to Cry
82. I Don't Believe You (She Acts Like We Never Met)
81. Forgetful Heart
80. Lay Lady Lay
79. 'Till I Fell in Love with You
79. Disease of Conceit
78. Jokerman
77. You're a Big Girl Now
76. Drifter's Escape
75. Huck's Tune
74. Moonshiner
73. Lily, Rosemary, and the Jack of Hearts
72. Gates of Eden
71. The Lonesome Death of Hattie Carroll


70. In the Summertime
"And I’m still carrying the gift you gave
It’s a part of me now, it’s been cherished and saved
It’ll be with me unto the grave
And then unto eternity"

69. Temporary Like Achilles
"Kneeling ’neath your ceiling
Yes, I guess I’ll be here for a while
I’m tryin’ to read your portrait, but
I’m helpless, like a rich man’s child"

68. Love Sick
"I’m sick of love; I wish I’d never met you
I’m sick of love; I’m trying to forget you
Just don’t know what to do
I’d give anything to be with you"

67. Gotta Serve Somebody
"You might be a rock ’n’ roll addict prancing on the stage
You might have drugs at your command, women in a cage
You may be a businessman or some high-degree thief
They may call you Doctor or they may call you Chief
But you’re gonna have to serve somebody, yes indeed
You’re gonna have to serve somebody
Well, it may be the devil or it may be the Lord
But you’re gonna have to serve somebody"

66. One More Cup of Coffee
"I don’t sense affection
No gratitude or love
Your loyalty is not to me
But to the stars above"

65. Ballad of a Thin Man
"Well, you walk into the room
Like a camel and then you frown
You put your eyes in your pocket
And your nose on the ground
There ought to be a law
Against you comin’ around
You should be made
To wear earphones
Because something is happening here
But you don’t know what it is
Do you, Mister Jones?"

64. I and I
"Someone else is speakin’ with my mouth, but I’m listening only to my heart
I’ve made shoes for everyone, even you, while I still go barefoot"

63. It Ain't Me, Babe
"You say you’re lookin’ for someone
Never weak but always strong
To protect you an’ defend you
Whether you are right or wrong
Someone to open each and every door
But it ain’t me, babe"

62. Most Likely You Go Your Way (And I'll Go Mine)
"You say my kisses are not like his, but this time I’m not gonna tell you why that is."

61. Ballad in Plain D
"I think of her often and hope whoever she’s met will be fully aware of how precious she is"

60. When the Ship Comes In
"Then they’ll raise their hands
Sayin’ we’ll meet all your demands
But we’ll shout from the bow your days are numbered
And like Pharoah’s tribe
They’ll be drownded in the tide
And like Goliath, they’ll be conquered"

59. Hurricane
"Now all the criminals in their coats and their ties
Are free to drink martinis and watch the sun rise
While Rubin sits like Buddha in a ten-foot cell
An innocent man in a living hell"

58. Sugar Baby
"Every moment of existence seems like some dirty trick. Happiness can come suddenly and leave just as quick. Any minute of the day, the bubble could burst. Try to make things better for someone, sometimes, you just end up making it a thousand times worse. Sugar Baby, get on down the road. You ain’t got no brains, no how. You went years without me, might as well keep going now."

57. Pressin' On
"Many try to stop me, shake me up in my mind
Say, 'Prove to me that He is Lord, show me a sign'
What kind of sign they need when it all come from within"

56. Absolutely Sweet Marie
"Well, I waited for you when I was half sick
Yes, I waited for you when you hated me
Well, I waited for you inside of the frozen traffic
When you knew I had some other place to be
Now, where are you tonight, sweet Marie?"

55. My Back Pages
"Half-wracked prejudice leaped forth
'Rip down all hate,' I screamed
Lies that life is black and white
Spoke from my skull. I dreamed
Romantic facts of musketeers
Foundationed deep, somehow
Ah, but I was so much older then
I’m younger than that now"

54. Mama, You've Been on My Mind
"Perhaps it’s the color of the sun cut flat
An’ cov’rin’ the crossroads I’m standing at
Or maybe it’s the weather or something like that
But mama, you been on my mind"

53. Where Teardrops Fall
"You know the song in my heart
In the turning of twilight
In the shadows of moonlight
You can show me a new place to start"

52. Is Your Love in Vain?
"All right, I’ll take a chance, I will fall in love with you
If I’m a fool you can have the night, you can have the morning too
Can you cook and sew, make flowers grow
Do you understand my pain?
Are you willing to risk it all
Or is your love in vain?"

51. Tomorrow's a Long Time
"If tomorrow wasn’t such a long time, then lonesome would mean nothing to you at all"

50. I Dreamed I Saw St. Augustine
"I dreamed I saw St. Augustine
Alive with fiery breath
And I dreamed I was amongst the ones
That put him out to death
Oh, I awoke in anger
So alone and terrified
I put my fingers against the glass
And bowed my head and cried"

49. The Ballad of Frankie Lee and Judas Priest
"Don’t go mistaking Paradise for that home across the road"

48. Sara
"Stayin’ up for days in the Chelsea Hotel
Writin’ “Sad-Eyed Lady of the Lowlands” for you
Sara, Sara
Wherever we travel we’re never apart
Sara, oh Sara
Beautiful lady, so dear to my heart"

47. Can You Please Crawl Out Your Window?
"He sits in your room, his tomb, with a fist full of tacks
Preoccupied with his vengeance
Cursing the dead that can’t answer him back
I’m sure that he has no intentions
Of looking your way, unless it’s to say
That he needs you to test his inventions"

46. Covenant Woman
"Covenant woman, intimate little girl
Who knows those most secret things of me that are hidden from the world
You know we are strangers in a land we’re passing through
I’ll always be right by your side, I’ve got a covenant too"

45. Stuck Inside of Mobile With the Memphis Blues Again
"Can this really be the end, to be stuck inside of Mobile with the Memphis blues again?"

44. She Belongs to Me
"She can take the dark out of the nighttime and paint the daytime black"

43. If You See Her, Say Hello
"And though our separation, it pierced me to the heart
She still lives inside of me, we've never been apart
If you get close to her, kiss her once for me
I always have respected her for busting out and gettin' free
Oh, whatever makes her happy, I won't stand in the way
Though the bitter taste still lingers on from the night I tried to make her stay
I see a lot of people as I make the rounds
And I hear her name here and there as I go from town to town"

42. License to Kill
"Now he worships at an altar of a stagnant pool
And when he sees his reflection, he’s fulfilled
Oh, man is opposed to fair play
He wants it all and he wants it his way"

41. Cold Irons Bound
"Oh, the winds in Chicago have torn me to shreds
Reality has always had too many heads
Some things last longer than you think they will
There are some kind of things you can never kill
It’s you and you only I been thinking about
But you can’t see in and it’s hard lookin’ out
I’m twenty miles out of town in cold irons bound"

40. Ring them Bells
"Oh the shepherd is asleep
Where the willows weep
And the mountains are filled
With lost sheep"

39. Bob Dylan's Dream
"With half-damp eyes I stared to the room
Where my friends and I spent many an afternoon
Where we together weathered many a storm
Laughin’ and singin’ till the early hours of the morn"

38. Don't Think Twice It's Alright
"I gave her my heart but she wanted my soul
But don’t think twice, it’s all right
I’m walkin’ down that long, lonesome road, babe
Where I’m bound, I can’t tell
But goodbye’s too good a word, gal
So I’ll just say fare thee well
I ain’t sayin’ you treated me unkind
You could have done better but I don’t mind
You just kinda wasted my precious time
But don’t think twice, it’s all right"

37. One Too Many Mornings
"From the crossroads of my doorstep
My eyes they start to fade
As I turn my head back to the room
Where my love and I have laid"

36. 4th Time Around
"You, you took me in
You loved me then
You didn’t waste time
And I, I never took much
I never asked for your crutch
Now don’t ask for mine"

35. It's all Over Now, Baby Blue
"Leave your stepping stones behind, something calls for you
Forget the dead you’ve left, they will not follow you
The vagabond who’s rapping at your door
Is standing in the clothes that you once wore"

34. Chimes of Freedom
"As we listened one last time an’ we watched with one last look
Spellbound an’ swallowed ’til the tolling ended
Tolling for the aching ones whose wounds cannot be nursed
For the countless confused, accused, misused, strung-out ones an’ worse
An’ for every hung-up person in the whole wide universe
An’ we gazed upon the chimes of freedom flashing"

33. When I Paint My Masterpiece
"Oh, the hours I’ve spent inside the Coliseum
Dodging lions and wastin’ time
Oh, those mighty kings of the jungle, I could hardly stand to see ’em
Yes, it sure has been a long, hard climb
Train wheels runnin’ through the back of my memory
When I ran on the hilltop following a pack of wild geese
Someday, everything is gonna be smooth like a rhapsody
When I paint my masterpiece"

32. Tryin' to Get to Heaven
"I tried to give you everything
That your heart was longing for
I’m just going down the road feeling bad
Trying to get to heaven before they close the door"

31. Make You Feel My Love
"When the evening shadows and the stars appear, and there is no one there to dry your tears,
I could hold you for a million years, to make you feel my love."

30. A Hard Rain's a-Gonna Fall
"I’m a-goin’ back out ’fore the rain starts a-fallin’
I’ll walk to the depths of the deepest black forest
Where the people are many and their hands are all empty
Where the pellets of poison are flooding their waters
Where the home in the valley meets the damp dirty prison
Where the executioner’s face is always well hidden
Where hunger is ugly, where souls are forgotten
Where black is the color, where none is the number
And I’ll tell it and think it and speak it and breathe it
And reflect it from the mountain so all souls can see it
Then I’ll stand on the ocean until I start sinkin’
But I’ll know my song well before I start singin’"

29. Love Minus Zero/No Limit
"My love winks, she does not bother. She knows too much to argue or to judge"

28. Masters of War
"You’ve thrown the worst fear that can ever be hurled: fear to bring children into the world. For threatening my baby, unborn and unnamed, you ain’t worth the blood that runs in your veins."

27. Times They are a-Changin'
"Come mothers and fathers throughout the land, and don’t criticize what you can’t understand. Your sons and your daughters are beyond your command. Your old road is rapidly agin’. Please get out of the new one if you can’t lend your hand,f or the times they are a-changin’."

26. Sad Eyed Lady of the Lowlands
"With your silhouette when the sunlight dims
Into your eyes where the moonlight swims
And your matchbook songs and your gypsy hymns
Who among them would try to impress you?
Sad-eyed lady of the lowlands
Where the sad-eyed prophet says that no man comes
My warehouse eyes, my Arabian drums
Should I leave them by your gate
Or, sad-eyed lady, should I wait?"

25. Tangled Up in Blue
"She lit a burner on the stove
And offered me a pipe
“I thought you’d never say hello,” she said
“You look like the silent type”
Then she opened up a book of poems
And handed it to me
Written by an Italian poet
From the thirteenth century
And every one of them words rang true
And glowed like burnin’ coal
Pourin’ off of every page
Like it was written in my soul from me to you"

24. Simple Twist of Fate
"He woke up, the room was bare
He didn’t see her anywhere
He told himself he didn’t care, pushed the window open wide
Felt an emptiness inside to which he just could not relate
Brought on by a simple twist of fate"

23. Forever Young
"May you build a ladder to the stars and climb on every rung. May you stay forever young."

22. Not Dark Yet
"I was born here and I’ll die here against my will
I know it looks like I’m moving, but I’m standing still
Every nerve in my body is so vacant and numb
I can’t even remember what it was I came here to get away from
Don’t even hear a murmur of a prayer
It’s not dark yet, but it’s getting there"

21. I Shall be Released
"They say ev’rything can be replaced
Yet ev’ry distance is not near
So I remember ev’ry face
Of ev’ry man who put me here"

20. Knocking on Heaven's Door
"Mama, put my guns in the ground
I can’t shoot them anymore
That long black cloud is comin’ down
I feel like I’m knockin’ on heaven’s door"

19. The Man in Me
"The man in me will hide sometimes to keep from bein’ seen
But that’s just because he doesn’t want to turn into some machine
Took a woman like you
To get through to the man in me"

18. Standing in the Doorway
"The ghost of our old love has not gone away
Don’t look like it will anytime soon
You left me standing in the doorway crying
Under the midnight moon
Last night I danced with a stranger
But she just reminded me you were the one
You left me standing in the doorway crying
In the dark land of the sun
It always means so much
Even the softest touch
I see nothing to be gained by any explanation
There are no words that need to be said
You left me standing in the doorway crying
Blues wrapped around my head"

17. I Want You
"The silver saxophones say I should refuse you
The cracked bells and washed-out horns
Blow into my face with scorn
But it’s not that way
I wasn’t born to lose you"

16. To Ramona
"Your cracked country lips
I still wish to kiss
As to be under the strength of your skin
Your magnetic movements
Still capture the minutes I’m in
But it grieves my heart, love
To see you tryin’ to be a part of
A world that just don’t exist
It’s all just a dream, babe
A vacuum, a scheme, babe
That sucks you into feelin’ like this"

15. Just Like a Woman
"When we meet again, introduced as friends, please don’t let on that you knew me when I was hungry and it was your world."

14. One of Us Must Know (Sooner or Later)
"I couldn’t see what you could show me
Your scarf had kept your mouth well hid
I couldn’t see how you could know me
But you said you knew me and I believed you did"

13. Girl from the North Country
"I’m a-wonderin’ if she remembers me at all
Many times I’ve often prayed
In the darkness of my night
In the brightness of my day"

12. Just Like Tom Thumb's Blues
"I started out on burgundy
But soon hit the harder stuff
Everybody said they’d stand behind me
When the game got rough
But the joke was on me
There was nobody even there to call my bluff
I’m going back to New York City
I do believe I’ve had enough"

11. Every Grain of Sand
"In the time of my confession, in the hour of my deepest need
When the pool of tears beneath my feet flood every newborn seed
There’s a dyin’ voice within me reaching out somewhere
Toiling in the danger and in the morals of despair"

10. Blowin' in the Wind
"How many years can a mountain exist before it’s washed to the sea? Yes, ’n’ how many years can some people exist before they’re allowed to be free?"

9. Positively 4th St
"You got a lotta nerve to say you are my friend. When I was down, you just stood there grinning. You got a lotta nerve to say you got a helping hand to lend. You just want to be on the side that’s winning."

8. Like a Rolling Stone
"Once upon a time you dressed so fine. You threw the bums a dime in your prime, didn’t you?"

7. All Along the Watchtower
"'No reason to get excited,' the thief, he kindly spoke
'There are many here among us who feel that life is but a joke
But you and I, we’ve been through that, and this is not our fate
So let us not talk falsely now, the hour is getting late'"

6. Desolation Row
"In comes Romeo, he’s moaning
'You Belong to Me I Believe'
And someone says, 'You’re in the wrong place my friend
You better leave'
And the only sound that’s left
After the ambulances go
Is Cinderella sweeping up
On Desolation Row"

5. Boots of Spanish Leather
"Oh, but if I had the stars from the darkest night
And the diamonds from the deepest ocean
I’d forsake them all for your sweet kiss
For that’s all I’m wishin’ to be ownin’"

4. Queen Jane Approximately
"When all the clowns that you have commissioned
Have died in battle or in vain
And you’re sick of all this repetition
Won’t you come see me, Queen Jane?"

3. Shelter from the Storm
"She walked up to me so gracefully and took my crown of thorns
'Come in,' she said, 'I’ll give you shelter from the storm'"

2. Mr. Tambourine Man
"Then take me disappearin’ through the smoke rings of my mind
Down the foggy ruins of time, far past the frozen leaves
The haunted, frightened trees, out to the windy beach
Far from the twisted reach of crazy sorrow
Yes, to dance beneath the diamond sky with one hand waving free
Silhouetted by the sea, circled by the circus sands
With all memory and fate driven deep beneath the waves
Let me forget about today until tomorrow"

1. Visions of Johanna
"Oh, jewels and binoculars hang from the head of the mule
But these visions of Johanna, they make it all seem so cruel
The peddler now speaks to the countess who’s pretending to care for him
Sayin’, “Name me someone that’s not a parasite and I’ll go out and say a prayer for him”
But like Louise always says
“Ya can’t look at much, can ya man?”
As she, herself, prepares for him
And Madonna, she still has not showed
We see this empty cage now corrode
Where her cape of the stage once had flowed
The fiddler, he now steps to the road
He writes ev’rything’s been returned which was owed
On the back of the fish truck that loads
While my conscience explodes
The harmonicas play the skeleton keys and the rain
And these visions of Johanna are now all that remain"

Happy 70th Birthday, Bob. Forever Young.

The Doormats of the National League

It is early in the season, but this Cubs fan feels no optimism.

At the moment of this writing, the Cubs are sitting comfortably in 4th place of their division. They are one and a half games ahead of Milwaukee and two and a half ahead of the cellar dwelling Astros.

The Doormats of the National League
Something disruptive must happen
to save the Cubs 2011 season.
I say they are comfortably in 4th place because it's clear to anyone paying attention that the Cubs have, for all intents and purposes, punted the 2011 season. They're treading water until future payroll flexibility, from expired contracts and added ballpark revenue streams, allows them to seriously contend. The infuriating part isn't that the team cannot contend on a year-in-year out basis, but rather that they cannot be honest with themselves for a complete rebuilding job.

They could have lost 100 games, while playing their homegrown talent and keeping the minor leagues loaded, and had a more successful year than they'll likely have. Of course, what happened this offseason instead, is the front office tried to remain relatively competitive in an effort to save their jobs. They spent money on stopgaps, like Carlos Peña, which they could have more wisely spent on the draft or relief pitching. They traded away a handful of good players for Matt Garza. We have nothing against Garza, but no team should trade away valuable young players to improve from a 91-loss team to an 81-loss team. Neither team makes the playoffs, but the team with the better farm system has a brighter future. The Cubs punted on the 2011 season, but they were at the 45 yard line and kicked it through the back of the endzone.

Baseball-Reference has recently included their Simple Rating System (SRS) with their Standings. It's not just on extremely detailed charts; they have it on their homepage.

The site describes SRS as "the number of runs per game that they are better (or worse) than the average team."

SRS = Run Differential (R_diff) + Strength of Schedule (SOS)


The rating system was modeled after NCAA football's BCS rankings method and clearly explained in this article.

Looking at the National League, ranked by SRS shows everything you need to know about how the Cubs have played this season.

Rk Tm W L W-L% GB R RA Rdiff SOS SRS ▾
1  ATL 20 16 .556 1.5 4.2 3.0 1.2 0.1 1.3
2 PHI 22 11 .667 --- 4.4 3.3 1.1 0.1 1.2
3 STL 20 15 .571 1.0 5.2 4.0 1.3 -0.1 1.2
4  FLA 20 13 .606 --- 4.6 4.0 0.6 0.1 0.8
5  CIN 18 16 .529 2.5 5.1 4.5 0.6 -0.3 0.3
6 COL 18 14 .563 1.5 4.3 3.9 0.4 -0.3 0.1
Avg 16 16 .500 4.1 4.1
7  SFG 18 16 .529 2.5 3.5 3.6 0.0 -0.1 -0.1
8  WSN 16 18 .471 4.5 3.6 4.1 -0.6 0.5 -0.1
9  NYM 15 19 .441 5.5 4.2 4.5 -0.3 0.2 -0.1
10  MIL 14 20 .412 6.5 3.8 4.2 -0.4 0.3 -0.2
11  ARI 15 18 .455 5.0 4.7 4.9 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3
12  PIT 17 17 .500 3.5 3.8 4.1 -0.4 -0.1 -0.4
13  SDP 14 20 .412 6.5 3.1 3.6 -0.6 -0.1 -0.6
14  LAD 16 19 .457 5.0 3.6 4.5 -0.9 0.0 -0.9
15  HOU 13 21 .382 7.5 4.3 5.3 -1.0 0.1 -1.0
16  CHC 15 18 .455 5.0 3.8 4.8 -0.9 -0.4 -1.3
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/9/2011.

The Doormats of the National League
Unfortunately, the Cubs have been looking
up at their competition for lifetimes.

Pitch Value Leaderboards

No time nor use for rhetoric tonight.

The following are current 2011 leader boards for Fangraphs' Pitch Type Linear Weights, Pitch Values. The statistic shown is total runs saved above average.

Best Fastball
Tim Hudson 10.1
Scott Baker 9.1
Brandon Beachy 9.0
Pitch Value Leaderboards
Success with his changeup
certainly stems from his heat.
Jonny Venters 8.0
C.C. Sabathia 7.5

Best Changeup
Felix Hernandez 9.1
Jorge de la Rosa 7.0
Jered Weaver 7.0
Tim Lincecum 6.0
Cole Hamels 4.9

Best Curveball
Dustin Moseley 5.7
Philip Humber 5.4
Jose Veras 4.5
Jonathon Niese 4.4
Livan Hernandez 4.3

Best Slider
Pitch Value Leaderboards
Bud Norris has quietly
thrown the most effective
slider in MLB this year.
Bud Norris 9.9
Josh Johnson 8.1
Gavin Floyd 8.1
Brett Anderson 7.6
Ervin Santana 6.3

Best Cut Fastball
Dan Haren 11.8
Roy Halladay 7.6
Jon Lester 6.1
Mike Adams 6.0
Cole Hamels 5.5

Best Splitfinger
Edward Mujica 3.9
Dan Haren 2.7
Joel Peralta 2.1
Jon Garland 2.0
Daniel McCutchen 1.8

And now, for some customized heavy lifting...

Best Two Pitches
Pitch Value Leaderboards
J.J. can beat you with a lot.
Josh Johnson 15.0
Dan Haren 14.5
Jered Weaver 12.3
Tim Hudson 11.9
Kyle Lohse 11.3

Best Three Pitches
Josh Johnson 16.6
Dan Haren 16.3
Jered Weaver 16.0
Roy Halladay 14.2
Kyle Lohse 14.1
Tim Hudson 13.6
Jaime Garcia 13.1
Felix Hernandez 11.3
Jhoulys Chacin 11.2
Carlos Zambrano 11.0

Best Four Pitches
Pitch Value Leaderboards
A couple of Aces out West...
Josh Johnson 17.5
Roy Halladay 16.5
Jered Weaver 16.5
Dan Haren 16.1
Kyle Lohse 14.8
Tim Hudson 14.3
Jaime Garcia 13.2
Cole Hamels 10.8
Josh Beckett 10.7
Felix Hernandez 10.2

Pitch Value Leaderboards
Best Five Pitches
Tim Hudson 14.9

Best Six Pitches
Tim Hudson 15.4

No-one else had five or six positive-value pitches.

Cubs' Lineup is For the Byrds

Mike Quade's lineup card for today's game has Marlon Byrd batting third for the 22nd time this season. Your third spot is traditionally used for your best hitter. How am I supposed to get excited for the Cubs, when Marlon Byrd is their #3 hitter? /takes a pause... eight, nine, ten... Ok, better.

Cubs' Lineup is For the Byrds
The Cubs would be great if this was their 4th Outfielder.

Let's not get too worked up over this. Batting order is overrated. Aside from having the right person in the leadoff spot, there's little the manager can control. I do find it keenly discouraging that over the course of his ten year career, Marlon Byrd's lowest Onbase Percentage has been in the #3 spot, per Baseball-Reference:

I Split G PA BB SO BA OBP SLG tOPS+
Batting 3rd 102 416 20 82 .249 .296 .358 72
Batting 9th 70 115 3 22 .271 .304 .402 84
Batting 8th 98 349 23 67 .248 .307 .354 74
Batting 7th 41 134 9 24 .254 .316 .377 82
Batting 5th 176 719 43 124 .269 .321 .382 85
Batting 2nd 38 156 8 28 .273 .329 .378 86
Batting 1st 145 661 52 103 .289 .352 .418 102
Batting 6th 155 594 50 99 .314 .377 .473 123
Batting 4th 143 586 43 86 .317 .382 .539 140
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/7/2011.

Go Cubs! I'll be going to the old Polo Grounds today.