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Interleague Madness

The Yankees and Mets are meeting up at the new Yankee Stadium tonight, and both teams have seen better times.  The M.A.S.H.'ing Mets are limping into this weekend's subway series four games behind the Phillies and even behind the Brewers & Cardinals of the NL Central.The Yankees, on the other hand, are still in the driver's seat for the wild card.  As we discussed yesterday, the Bronx Bombers had an opportunity to hurt the Red Sox by exposing Brad Penny as an overweight, leprechaun-hugging, jadrool loser.

Interleague Madness
Instead, the Yankees managed six hits, one walk, and no runs in Penny's six innings of work.  They also struck out five times.

I really believe that last night's performance improves Penny's perceived value quite a bit.  People around the league are more inclined to think of him as the guy who, in 2007, went 16-4 with a 3.03 ERA, 151 ERA+, and only 9 HR's in 208 innings.  Theo Epstein will be pawning off that story, while trying to make people forget Penny disastrous 2008, where his ERA was 6.27, he had a 68 ERA+, and he gave up 13 HR's in only 94 innings.

The Yankees took a 3-1 lead against reliever Manny Delcarmen, but subsequently lost the game in the 8th inning to a 4-3 Final.  So, everyone on ESPN, the New York media, and the MLB Network can go on and on about how the Yankees can't beat the Red Sox until they meet up again August 6th.

Wait.  What?!  I don't think I'm prepared for six more weeks of a world where this underlying theme will be analyzed and prophesied by the neanderthals on sports talk radio and people of Skip Bayless' ilk.  Thank goodness we're National League fans over here.

Meanwhile, Boston is heading down to South Philly to take on the World Champion Philadelphia Phillies this weekend.  It's terrific for Boston that Big Papi hit his 4th HR last night because he can now safely ride the National League stadium pine for a few days with a big fat smile on his face.

Interleague play brings more unusual matchups this weekend.

Interleague Madness
The Cubs, who appear incapable of competing like a formidable ball club are hosting the Twins, who feature Joe Mauer, Justin Morneau, the lunch pail masher Jason Kubel, and perhaps the league's finest closer Joe Nathan.  (Coming into this season, Joe Nathan's ERA+ for the last six years have incredibly been: 316, 284, 276, 262, 282, 261.  An ERA+ of 100 is league average.  Brad Penny's ERA+ last season was 68, and when he went 16-4 with a 3.03 ERA, it was 151.)

The Braves and Tigers are taking their two prized, young hurlers, Tommy Hanson and Rick Porcello, on the road.  The Braves are in Baltimore, while Jim Leyland will try to get the Tigers bite the hand that once fed him in Pittsburgh tonight.

On a sensitive note, Jim Leyland should conjure up memories of the most recent winning season in Pirates' history, back when they had Bonds and Bonilla.  It would be interesting to know if rekindling those memories would make Pirates fans happy or sad.

Interleague Madness
The average IQ of people in southeast Wisconsin is about to be lowered by about a point and a half, as White Sox fans cram into their Chevy Monte Carlo's and head up the highway to showcase their mullets and tattoos in the stands of Miller Park.

Neighboring California teams are facing off, as the Padres travel up to Anaheim and the Oakland A's travel across the bay to take on the Giants in San Francisco.

Yankee Opportunity

With all the talk about the Yankees not being able to beat the Red Sox, there are just a couple of things that people fail to mention.  This is a quick post; we aren't trying to mention everything that is germane to this conversation... just a few points that should derail the mindless chatter about how the Red Sox own the Yankees...


2. The AL Central and AL West do not look like they have a Wild Card contender.

3. The Yankee team will look very different in four months, after midseason acquisitions and the potential move to the bullpen of Joba Chamberlain.  I'm  not arguing that he shouldn't be a starter, and he should be converted to relief right now.  He can be a starter his entire career if he keeps producing as he has been - preferably if HR's allowed improve.  Still, he should probably be a post-season reliever.  He's more qualified to go to the bullpen than Wang, and the Yankee playoff rotation should probably be Sabathia, Burnett, and Pettitte, with Wang as a long reliever and Hughes and Joba in the 7th and 8th.

Anyway, again, it doesn't matter.  Most of this is media fabricated drama.  I think the Yankees need to cherish their opportunity this evening to damage the Red Sox title hopes by way more than just the swing in the standings with a win.

Yankee Opportunity
No, I'm not suggesting they go all Jeff Gillooly on Jason Bay or Kevin Youkilis.  No, they have a unique opportunity to severely damage the trade value of Red Sox starting pitcher, Brad Penny.

As we mentioned in a post here a few days ago, it seems that the Red Sox cannot trade Brad Penny fast enough.  They cannot trade him until June 15th without his permission, so the results of tonight's start are critical to other teams' opinions of him.

Penny has been linked to rumors involving the Phillies' Jason Donald, Braves' Jeff Francoeur, and others.  Yankee fans, wouldn't you love to see the Red Sox get the worst possible deal?  They're compelled to trade him because they have John Smoltz coming back next week, while Clay Buchholz and Michael Bowden wasting away in Pawtucket.

Let's see if the Yankees can be patient with Penny, make him up his pitch count, and capitalize on any mistakes he makes up in the zone.  Penny has been far from flawless this season (5.85 ERA, 1.60 WHIP), but this is a big game for him and his perceived value.

So, really Yankee fans, it doesn't matter if the Yanks win tonight.  I would just root for them to knock Penny out of the game before the 5th inning.  Of course, that's conducive to winning, but if someone Phil Coke,  Greg Robinson, or (gasp) Mariano Rivera blows the game late, try to keep everything in perspective.  New York City doesn't need to feel a Yankee panic, when they're still a strong bet to qualify for the tournament.

Who Are These Guys?

Thoughts from watching the first round of the MLB draft on the MLB Network...

Bud Selig is such a bad public speaker.  He's such an old curmudgeon, and he comes off as an absolute dinosaur who's never cared for anything that doesn't come from Wisconsin.  Anyway, he handles the announcement of the picks about as well as any random senior citizen off the street could.

Who Are These Guys?
The draft starts with Bud and all of Major League baseball giving themselves a big pat on the back for starting up a TV network.  Yippee.  How hard is it to start up a TV network?  Weird Al saved a fledgling TV station in the admittedly fictional UHF, but still they had no money.

With the first pick, the Nationals do what everyone except Mike Wilbon would do, and that's draft Stephen Strasburg with the first pick.  I'd like to see him sign early and pitch for the Nationals as soon as possible.  I'd like to see him become an exciting strikeout pitcher that is a joy to watch, like Lincecum and King Felix.  That being said, I'd probably in some sick way enjoy it if he becomes Ryan Leaf and has comedic moments yelling at beat reporters to stop asking him questions and to just leave him alone.  I mean he's going to make dozens of millions of dollars before he even puts on a professional uniform, so I'm not going to feel bad if he turns into Homer Bailey.

The second pick goes to the player labeled the best hitter in the draft: Dustin Ackley, to the Seattle Mariners.  He's an outfielder at the University of North Carolina.  They're still in the College World Series, but this guy is very soon going to get about six million dollars to move to whatever minor league bumble funk town the Mariners choose.

Donovan Tate went #3 to the Padres.  They're saying it's going to take some cash to get this guy away from a football scholarship.  He's an athlete, his dad was a pro athlete, and Kevin Towers is hoping to sign this guy and bring some offense to that awful hitters' park.

This draft is heavy in pitchers, yet the second, third, and fourth picks are all hitters.  At #4, the Pittsburgh Pirates selected Boston College's catcher, Tony Sanchez.  Tony is originally from Miami and comes in with tremendous scouting reports across the boards.  He's not Matt Wieters, but the Pirates would be happy with a guy who could play like Ryan Doumit and stay healthy.

Yesterday, I alluded to my anticipation for whom the Orioles would take.  I have a lot of confidence in Andy MacPhail and think the foundation that the Orioles already have in place is something to be extremely optimistic about.  I've been thinking they'll take a good pitcher, but have no idea who to suggest.  From what I understand most of the guys in the draft could go anywhere from #5 to #40, so why would I remotely care about anyone's mock draft opinions?

Tyler Matzek sounds conceited, greedy, and obnoxious, but he might be really good.  Well, the Orioles would up taking Matt Hobgood, a RHP out of high school in Norco, CA.  According, to Norco's website, it is also "Horsetown USA".  From what the guys on TV are saying, Hobgood sounds like a solid bet to be successful.

Really, everyone in the top 6 sounds good, which is funny because probably only about 3 or 4 of them will work out.  At #6, the San Francisco Giants selected Zach Wheeler.  He's a high school pitcher out of Georgia, we've been hearing about for a while.  So, the TV guys: Harold Reynolds, John Hart, the somewhat anonymous host, and some guy who's big into scouting, haven't said anything bad about any of the Top 6 picks.

At #7, the Atlanta Braves took a LHP from Vanderbilt named Mike Minor.  Reynolds and Hart are saying nice things about him, but he doesn't look very imposing on camera.  He certainly doesn't make anyone mention a comparison to David Price.

Cincinnati selected our nomination for first potential bust.  With the 8th pick, they took a pitcher from Arizona State, Mike Leake, who got a few backhanded complements, setting off red flags in my head.  According to Harold Reynolds, "[Leake] is not gonna be a guy who strikes a lot of people out."  John Hart added, "He is a little bit undersized." and "He's not going to be a #1 starter."  After all that, Reynolds said, "he will battle in a big game." Terrific.  What a joke.  Later in the draft, Leake was interviewed over the phone, and he admitted he didn't think he'd go that high.

Who Are These Guys?At #9, the Tigers took Jacob Turner, a high-school "strikeout machine".  He throws 94-95 with an easy delivery, for 5 or 6 innings.  6'5" - 210 lbs.  I thought it would be great for the Tigers to team up Tyler Matzek ("the lefty Rick Porcello") with the real Rick Porcello.  All signs point towards this being a very good pick, so I think Turner and Porcello should be good wingmen for Justin Verlander in the next couple of years.

The Nationals are also picking 10th, because they picked Aaron Crow at #9 last year but failed to sign him.  This year, Aaron Crow & Tyler Matzek are still available.  If the Nats are going to spend $20 to $30 million on Strasburg, why shouldn't they just go all out and get another "expensive" kid who's going to cost "only" $7 to $8 million?  Well, they took Drew Storen, a RHP from Stanford.  He's "a decorated college pitcher".  He's a 2-pitch guy with a plus fastball/plus slider.  He's a relief pitcher, and he could be in The Show in a hurry.

Tyler Matzek finally went 11th to the Rockies.  He's 18 years old, 6'3" - 185 lbs, left-handed, and he mixes four pitches.  The host said he keeps reading "that he's such a good kid."  Really?  Then, why is he saying he wants "unprecedented" money?  Why is he saying that he doesn't just want to match the record bonuses of Josh Beckett and Rick Porcello, but he wants to exceed it?  Because he's such a good kid?  I don't buy it.  That being said, this should be a good pick for Colorado because they need to draft pitchers.  Free Agent pitchers will not go there, so they need to draft arms and sign free agent bats.  At least, that's the theory.

With the 12th pick, the Kansas City Royals took Aaron Crow.  So, I guess in a year or two, we could see a Royals rotation with Greinke, Meche, Hochevar, and Crow.  Now what will they do about that team OBP?

The always exciting Oakland A's took Grant Green, a shortstop from USC.  He was the highest rated hitter available, and we know the A's like college kids who are easier to project statistically.  The broadcast showed him as a 5-tool player, but he's only rated at above average, or good, in his tools.  Nothing spectacular, but he should be a good player who can play solid defense, get on base, and maybe pop 10 to 20 homeruns per year.

Nolan Ryan took another tall left-handed pitcher with the 14th pick.  He's just a high-school player, so he's young and risky to project.  The scouts say he has a great delivery and throws hard, though, so maybe he can be something special.  Like Colorado, the Rangers really need to keep drafting arms like Derek Holland and Neftali Feliz because stud free agent pitchers aren't going to sign there unless they're coming off surgery, like Ben Sheets.

Who Are These Guys?Cleveland took a hard throwing right hander from UNC Chapel Hill, Alex White, at 15th.  He could be another guy that can be in the bullpen in a hurry.  There's pressure on UNC to do well in the College World Series, with the #2 and #15 picks on the team.  Later in the draft, Alex and his teammate, Dustin Ackley, were interviewed on camera.  They seemed poised, humble, and excited.

Tyler Matzek was interviewed after the 15th pick, and he looked and sounded like a complete dufus.  Maybe we should give him a break for being 18 years old and really nervous.  Still, he was acting like a complete tool, in his ESPNZone t-shirt.  Plus, all the other players who were interviewed seemed much sharper.  Some of them were a little slow, or goofy, but Matzek was the worst.

From the audience's perspective, the draft has deteriorated into a complete and utter crapshoot.  I'm sure there are guys in the game who have a good idea who's going to be slected in the next 5 to 10 picks, but jeeze there is no reason for even an above average fan to have any idea what's going on or who's available.

The D'backs had back-to-back picks at 16 and 17.  They took two hitters.  The first is a switch-hitting high school third baseman, Bobby Borchering.  The second pick is actually someone I heard of: Notre Dame outfielder A.J. Pollock.

The Marlins took Chad James, LHP from high school in Yukon, Oklahoma.  Forgive me for knowing nothing about someone from Yukon, Oklahoma.  I've never even heard of Yukon, Oklahoma, but it sounds terrible.  What is the first thing you see on 
Yukon, Oklahoma's website?  "Home of Garth Brooks".

The Cardinals took Shelby Miller, a high school RHP from Texas.  Everyone on TV is saying glowing things about him.  He's a fireballer from Texas, great body, yada yada yada.  That stinks.  The Cardinals don't look like they are going away anytime soon.

Toronto took a college pitcher, Chad Jenkins, who's supposed to be good.  He's big, strong, durable.  Power sinker, power slider guy, who's built for innings.  John Hart thinks it's a great pick.  He's not long and lean, but he looks like a horse with a great work ethic.  If this guy and Matt Hobgood become even good #3 starters, the Blue Jays and Orioles can really make some noise at the Yanks/Sox/Rays party in 2011.

Jiovanni Mier is an 18 year old shortstop, and he was just selected 21st overall by the Houston Astros.  John Hart thinks he will eventually be a plus defensive shortstop who can hit a little.  Boooooring.

Who Are These Guys?
The Twins took Kyle Gibson, Univ of Missouri.  He had a stress fracture late in his season, and he won't be able to pitch until late July.  If he hadn't gotten hurt, he probably would have been picked in the Top 5 picks.  Since it's just a stress fracture in his wrist, I think it's a great pick.  He didn't hurt his elbow or his shoulder, so he should be able to heal and be good again.  This could be the steal of the draft.  Good for the Twins.

The White Sox too an OF from LSU, Jared Mitchell.  He plays football at LSU, as a Wide Receiver.  He can run, he can hit.  He currently plays Centerfield.  Great athlete; that's all they keep saying on TV.

24 and 25 go to the Angels. At #24, they took a high school left fielder from Texas named Randal Grichuk.  This was a bit of a "surprise" to the hosts.  Whatever, they have two picks and probably about twenty guys who seem like feasible picks.  At #25, they took Michael Trout, a center fielder from Millville, NJ, who comically is the only player to show up to the draft.  There is no way any of the hosts are going to criticize this pick in front of this kid.  Unbelievable. MLB invited every potential pick, and only one kid decided to take them up on it.

Who Are These Guys?The Brewers took a RHP from Indiana University, Eric Arnett.  He's 6'5" 225 lbs, and he was athletic enough to practice with Tom Crean's basketball team.  Relatedly, IU basketball is so bad right now that they need baseball players for the practice squad.

The Mariners took a high school shortstop from Florida, but this one's not Alex Rodriguez.  This is Nick Franklin; he's a switch hitter.  They drafted Dustin Ackley at #2 overall, maybe these guys will help in a couple of years.

The Red Sox and Yankees are picking next.  I have a lot more faith in the Red Sox front office.  Did you see Daniel Bard retire the side against the Yankees last night?  His stuff was electric, with an easy, moving fastball at 98 to 100 mph.

The Red Sox took a Puerto Rican high school outfielder named Reymond Fuentes.  He has explosive speed and can hit.

Yankees at #29 selected a left-handed high school outfielder, Slade Heathcott.  He has 5 tools, some shady "off the field issues", and he's from Texarkana, Texas.

Tampa at #30 will hopefully not take the guy the Cubs want.  I don't even remember the last time the Cubs had a good #1 pick, besides Mark Prior.  And, he didn't really reverse any curses on the Northside, either.  The Cubbies had such a "successful" season that they are picking 31st.  Can't you get a supplemental top 10 pick every year if your championship drought is over 100 years?

Leave it to the MLB Network to let their own timed (!) event run long, so my DVR didn't even get through Tampa's pick.  As I check the internet, I see that the Rays took a high school outfielder named Levon Washington.  I thought he was a running back on the Jets.

The Cubs selected University of California Outfielder Brett Jackson.  He was a leadoff hitter and center fielder at Cal.  According to Cubs.com, he's a left-handed hitter with above average speed.  Is it too much to ask the Cubs to draft a center fielder with tremendous speed instead of above average speed?  I don't have a better idea of whom they should have taken, but I just don't like the sound of this Brett Jackson character.  Prove me wrong, kid.  Prove me wrong.

Anticipating Tonight

Pittsburgh @ Atlanta
Ross Ohlendorf vs Derek Lowe
I had forgotten Ohlendorf was a former Yankee prospect.  The only thing that really interests me about this series is if Nate McLouth is taking any former teammates or coaches out to dinner.  If so, where?


Seattle @ Baltimore
Jason Vargas vs Brad Bergesen
I'm excited to see who the Orioles take in tonight's draft.  They're picking 4th, and I'm thinking they'll take a stud pitcher to help them when they come soaring back to relevance around 2011.  I think O's fans should be excited about the direction Andy MacPhail is taking the organization.

Kansas City @ Cleveland
Brian Bannister vs Cliff Lee
I'm not sure why I don't like Cliff Lee.  Perhaps the fact that I thought last season's impressive start was a fluke and he proved me wrong has something to do with it.  Maybe it's because he's on the Indians and many Cleveland fans in my generation has a particularly warped view on modern sports history.  I'm not saying they are the worst fans, but they're not really "good".
Anticipating Tonight

Older Cleveland fans are alright, I just think they did a poor job of passing down their mentality to people in their 20's and 30's.  I am leaving open the possibility that it's not these kids' fault.  Perhaps, they were traumatized like an SVU victim by guys like Earnest Byner, John Elway, Michael Jordan, Marty Schottenheimer, Bill Belichik, Art Model, Butch Davis, Tim Couch, Edgar Renteria - heck, even the Major League movies probably had a jarring effect on this fan base.

Cincinatti @ Washington
Johnny Cueto vs Jordan Zimmermann
We don't care too much for this contest.  We really only like Jay Bruce, Elijah Dukes, Nick Johnson, and Zimmermann.  A more enjoyable way to look at it is to see these teams as the two most recent Jim Bowden disaster zones facing off.

Jim Bowden makes me think of Jose Rijo, who make me think of Jose Lima.  Did someone say Jose Lima was making a comeback?  Is it really Lima Time again?  According to The Yuma Sun,
he just pitched a 6-hit shutout in the Golden Baseball League.

LA Angels @ Tampa Bay
Jered Weaver vs James Shields
The Angels' Weaver is producing in a way that he or his brother had previously only produced against amateur competition or as video game characters.  Jeff Weaver was really good in the EA video game after the season he was good on the Tigers.

NY Yankees @ Boston
AJ Burnett vs Josh Beckett
These guys teamed up as young fireballers who grew up in the Florida Marlins organization a few years ago.  I would guess that they're friends.  The big question I'm wondering is if Jacoby Ellsbury can play, or how long will he be out.  Otherwise, I'm fairly certain we'll see the Red Sox win the division, the Yankees win the Wild Card, and the Yankees actually having a chance in an ALCS matchup vs Boston because they're bullpen can be quite good in the post season with Joba and Hughes bridging the gap to Mariano.  How about that Mark Melancon guy?  In there an All Star team of guys who sound like Latin players but are just regular white guys?  Can they be the Mark Melancon All Stars?
Anticipating Tonight

Philadelphia @ NY Mets
J.A. Happ vs Johan Santana
This is not a "must win", but this is a huge game for the Mets.  Jerry Manuel of the Mets is playing the hand he's dealt, but lately he's been playing blackjack with a bunch of 15s and 16s.  Their next six games are against the 1st place Phillies and the crosstown Yankees.  If they cannot win on the days Santana pitches, they have a reasonable chance of going 1-5 or 0-6 this week.

St. Louis @ Florida
Chris Carpenter vs Josh Johnson
While all eyes of ESPN and the rest of the northeast are on Yankees/Red Sox and Phillies/Mets, we will be clamoring for more coverage of Chris Carpenter and Josh Johnson.  Yes, both of them are on our fantasy team.  So, it's clear we're rooting for a 1-0 contest, where the only run was unearned and Josh Johnson gets the Win.

Colorado @ Milwaukee
Jason Hammel vs Braden Looper
The rise of Ian Stewart should continue in Milwaukee.  He was the undisputed rotisserie baseball's player of the week, last week.  As the Rotoprofessor tells us, Stewart hit .480 with 4 HR, 12 RBI, and 9 Runs.  The second to last place team in our league dropped Milwaukee's Corey Hart, and we picked him up.  Should we be worried about him?  I think Corey Hart might hurt us a little in OBP, but if he can hit 15 HR's and steal 15 bases the rest of the way, we will be thrilled.  We've been pretty happy with Adrian Beltre, after picking him up about a month ago and hope that Corey Hart will be another member of our sloppy second all stars.

Toronto @ Texas
Brian Tallet vs. Doug Mathis
Anticipating Tonight
We love that Brian Tallet looks like a late '70s ball player, with his floppy hair and wispy mustache.  Doug Mathis is starting his first Major League game of the year, as he's taking the place of the injured Brandon McCarthy in the rotation.  Texas GM, Jon Daniels may want to go out and get someone else, either via trade or free agency, if this Mathis kid doesn't deliver.  I bet he's really glad that he hasn't release Vicente Padilla yet.  Would Tom Glavine or Paul Byrd make sense for them?  What if they went out and got the aforementioned Cliff Lee?  Personally, I think Brad Penny makes a lot of sense, since Boston can't get rid of him fast enough, and Nolan Ryan could be a fantastic mentor for him.

Cubs @ Houston
Ted Lilly vs Brian Moehler
I hate the Triple-A team that the Cubs have been showcasing at the major league level recently.  Really, they are terrible to watch.  In recent game, the Cubs' TV announcers warned little leaguers to turn off the TV in fear they'd learn bad habits.  The Cubs miss Aramis Ramirez like nobody's business.

Detroit @ White Sox
Dontrelle Willis vs Mark Buerhle
The D-Train Wreck is in full effect.  In his last appearance, Willis gave up five earned runs without giving up a hit because he walked five guys and couldn't get out of the 3rd inning.  One can only imagine what would happen if the Sox were actually hitting right now.  Instead, they've been so bad that Ozzie Guillen has recently fired off some beauties like: "When we're horse[expletive], we're horse[expletive].  We stink.  We're [expletive]."

San Francisco @ Arizona
Anticipating Tonight
Matt Cain vs Billy Buckner
Does anyone even care about the non-Dodgers NL West?  Does anyone in the West have a chance to beat the 2nd place teams of the NL East or NL Central?  I doubt it.  I guess if we want to see a good story line here, it's that Matt Cain has finally started getting some run support and solid bullpen relief.  He's going for his 8th win, after winning just 7 and 8 games TOTAL the last two years, despite pitching well.

Minnesota @ Oakland
Scott Baker vs Brett Anderson
Don't look now, but the Oakland Athletics have won seven in a row.  They're still four games under .500 and in last place, but stranger things have happened in divisions this winnable.  A few things for Twins fans to keep an eye on... is Nick Punto better than a replacement player, and what's up with Delmon Young?  He has only two extra base hits, and this is June 9th.  The Twins are in a tough spot because they can't just send Young to the minors.  He's out of options, and they'd surely lose him if they tried to get him through waivers.  Too bad they can't trade him for Matt Garza, or someone like that...

San Diego @ LA Dodgers
Chris Young vs Chad Billingsley
Anticipating Tonight
How good would this Dodgers team be if they had landed C.C. Sabathia?  I mean, they're running away with the division and Chad Billingsley is their ace.  They'd be amazing with a 1-2 punch of Sabathia/Billingsley, but it's interesting to think about these things sometimes.  For instance, Randy Wolf has been outstanding for the Dodgers.  Would he still be on the team if Sabathia were to have signed?  Remember, the Dodgers signed Wolf in February, after Sabathia signed back in December.  Since Wolf has been so good, it's not like Sabathia would have improved their current record much, if at all.  We'll see if Wolf can stay on top of his game and be an impact pitcher in October.

It's Draft Day!

Tonight's the night.  Steven Strasburg, Dustin Ackley, and their peers will be getting drafted tonight and tomorrow based on their physical tools, statistics, projections, and signability.

This past weekend, Peter Gammons magically turned back the clock and posted a brilliant vintage Gammons column previewing some of the aspects of the draft.  In Gammons' words...

It's Draft Day!
This is an odd draft, because of the paucity of high-profile hitters. Some in the Padres camp would like to get toolsy Georgia high school outfielder Donavan Tate, but the price of buying him out of his North Carolina football scholarship may lead them to Vanderbilt lefty Mike Minor, or former Missouri right-hander Aaron Crow, who turned down the Nationals last year. Georgia high school right-hander Zack Wheeler, California high school lefty Tyler Matzek, North Carolina right-hander Alex White, St. Louis high school right-hander Jacob Turner (this year's Rick Porcello) and Kennesaw State right-hander Chad Jenkins are all fairly certain to be in the top 10. After that, there will be a few above-slot picks by clubs like the Yankees and Red Sox as the battles rage between the commissioner's office and those teams who are trying to stock their systems and protect themselves from the prison that is free-agent dependency.
Mr. Gammons continues...

It's one thing to acquire a potential top-of-the-rotation starter, it's another to properly protect and develop him; Porcello has been a remarkable story fitting in as the Tigers' No. 3 starter in what would be his sophomore year in college (he wouldn't be eligible to be drafted until June 2010 had he gone to Chapel Hill), but as much as Jim Leyland and Rick Knapp have worked to protect him, Porcello is on a 170-inning pace that with the postseason could stretch toward 200 and bring back memories of Steve Avery.

It's Draft Day!
Yikes!  Steve Avery!  Looking back at Steve Avery's career, he was brilliant until he got hurt.  Did he get overused?  His only real problem was staying health enough to start 35 games in three consecutive seasons.  In 1990., at age 20, Steve Avery was called up and started 20 games for the Braves.  Then, in 1991, '92, and '93, at ages 21, 22, and 23, he started 35 games each season and threw 210, 233, and 223 innings.  He was very good-to-great in those years, too.  His ERA+ was 116, 115, and 138 in those years.  The next season, Avery got hurt, pitched only 24 games, finished with an ERA+ of 105.  For the rest of his career, he pitched about five and a half more seasons but never had an ERA+ over 100 again.

Let's hope that Mr. Leyland is as great as we think he is.

The last piece we'd like to share from Gammons' piece is this tantalizing nugget about a Marlins' farmhand, Mike Stanton...
It's Draft Day!

A great case study is that of 19-year-old Marlins outfielder Mike Stanton, one of the most physically gifted prospects in the game. He is a 6-foot-6, 235-pound speedster who was a second-round pick in 2007, turned his back on a tight end scholarship to USC and hit 39 homers in Single-A last season at the age of 18.

Stanton had a .968 OPS and a .390 on-base percentage with 12 homers in the pitcher-friendly Florida State League before being sent to Double-A this week, now at the ripe age of 19. But what is most remarkable about Stanton -- and he would be a natural to be thrown into the Home Run Derby at the All-Star Game -- is that every month beginning in April 2008, his strikeout rates have declined and his walk rates have increased. His strikeout rate was 33.7 percent in April 2008; last month, it was 17.3 percent. His walk rate was 7.1 percent in April 2008; last month, it was 13.6 percent.

Stanton is a student of the game and works very hard at his craft. "Still," says one scout, "he has instincts for the sport that no one can teach. That, and the fact that he can hit balls 500 feet."


We'll have more information on the site this afternoon, including an anticipatory look at tonight's games.

We hope work is going great for everyone today.

What Happened Last Night?

The question in the title used to refer to what exactly happened after someone blacked out, passed out, or simply needed help compiling the bits and pieces of memories that remained from a night of partying. Going to college in New Orleans, the best nights would include some killer live music. Besides the Jazz Fest & Mardi Gras special shows with acts like Maceo Parker, P-Funk, and other national acts, the greatest nights usually involved George Porter, Jr.

What Happened Last Night?George is the bassist for the Funky Meters, who still put on the best local music shows in New Orleans. The Meters have a reputation as being funk pioneers and legends who used to play parties for the Beatles. Legend has it that one of their most famous albums, "Uptown Rulers: The Meters, Live on the Queen Mary" is from a party that Paul McCartney threw on the famous cruise ship. Porter also has another group called George Porter, Jr & the Runnin' Pardners. This group has a smaller, but equally as passionate fan base.

Anyway, it always helped ease any hangover and just made it more fun to look back on the night when you had that funky beat still reverberating in your cloudy noggin.

This morning, we're casually looking through last night's box scores and desperately trying to get the thought of last night's Cubs' game far, far away. If only we could somehow get transported to the Howlin' Wolf to get funkified.

On to the games...

Atlanta 6, Chicago 5 (12 innings)
Let's get this over with... in this game...

Alfonso Soriano led off with a home run to take sole position of #2 for second most leadoff homeruns, ahead of Biggio and behind Rickey.

Milton Bradley left the game with a strained groin.

Cubs' rookie starter Randy Wells took a no-hitter into the 7th inning and a 5-0 lead and 1-hit shutout into the 8th inning. Garrett Anderson led off the 8th with a home run. The second hitter of the inning, Martin Prado, reached on a relatively unimaginable Derek Lee error, where he dropped a throw from the shortstop. I'm sorry, but the best part of D Lee's game is supposed to be the way he receives the throws from his infielders. He usually saves errors by being so tall, and having the soft hands required to scoop throws in the dirt routinely. This drop was spectacular. So, anyway Randy Wells, having thrown only 83 pitches, is removed with no outs in the 8th inning, a 5-1 score, and a runner on first. Lou Piniella summons the formerly lights out 8th inning guy, Carlos Marmol, who proceeds to walk Jeff Francouer on four pitches, gives up a lined shot to Gregor Blanco that Fukudome makes a nice play on for the 1st out. Marmol plunks pinch-hitter Greg Norton to load the bases, then walks Kelly Johnson to force in a run. Cuban refugee, Yunel Escobar, gets a ribbie with a sac fly, making the score 5-3.

The score will remain the same until the current captain of our Unlikeable Cub* team, Kevin Gregg, took the mound. As soon as I saw Gregg, I didn't like him. As soon as I saw him last night, I really wanted to give him another chance to win me over.

What Happened Last Night?*The Unlikeable Cub team is made up of guys who make you forget that you're rooting for the uniform because you just hate them. Either they stink (Mel Rojas), they have a reputation for not being gracious with the fans (Derrick May & Rey Sanchez), for some reason they rub you the wrong way (Jim Edmonds), or you just don't like the stupid looks on their faces (Kevin Gregg). I wanted to name this team after Drew Hall, and still may. He was the first player I ever didn't like on the Cubs. He had the Mel Rojas/Kevin Gregg combo of being no-good and looking like a dufus while doing it. Paul Assenmacher is another, more recent example of this phenomenon. My concern is that Drew Hall is not well known enough to have his own team named after him.

Without further ado, here are the members of the Unlikeable Cub team...

Drew Hall, Relief Pitcher
What Happened Last Night?
Frank Castillo, Starting Pitcher
Derrick May, Left Field
Paul Assenmacher, Relief Pitcher
Rey Sanchez, Shortstop
Mel Rojas, Relief Pitcher
Steve Trachsel, Starting Pitcher
LaTroy Hawkins, Relief Pitcher
Andy Pratt, Relief Pitcher
Todd Hundley, Catcher
Marcus Fizer (Bulls, has to be here)
Jim Edmonds, Outfield
Kevin Gregg, Relief Pitcher
Neal Cotts, Relief Pitcher

The first batter of the 9th, Brian McCann, hit into a long out. One out in the 9th, no-one on, and a 5-3 lead, I actually remember thinking that there really shouldn't be any reason for us to lose this game.

That was the beginning of the end. If this had been a playoff game, it would have fallen into the collection of pathetic playoff losses for this disastrous franchise. Gregg struck out the second batter, Garret Anderson, but the batter reached by swinging at strike three on a wild pitch that reached the screen. What's worse than losing because of a dropped third strike? Maybe losing on catcher's interference?

Martin Prado flied out, for what should have been the 27th out, but the Braves still had life. Local "hero" Jeff Francoeur added to his legend by tying the game up with a long fly to left center field.

What Happened Last Night?Taking a step back from the Cubs' perspective and looking at this like a Braves fan, this may be a case where they win the battle but will lose the war. The Braves have an outmaking machine in right field. Jeff Francoeur makes outs on 72.5% of his plate appearances, as his .275 OBP would suggest. Recent rumors have Frenchy with one foot out the door, either through trade or outright release. With these latest heroics, Jeff Francoeur, just bought himself some time and may eventually cost the Braves more victories.

After this collapse, should there be any doubt that the Cubs would lose this game? I don't think so. The Braves won it in the twelfth, when Aaron Heilman pitched like Aaron Heilman and gave up the winning hit to real Atlanta hero, Chipper Jones.

I didn't want to write anything about the Cubs let alone all that. Honest I didn't.

Washington 10, San Francisco 6
Tim Lincecum actually got hit by the lowly Nationals. It took him 110 pitches to get through 6 1/3 innings, while giving up four runs. Timmy's teammate, Randy Johnson, is going against Washington tonight in search of his 300th win. I have a strange feeling that Jordan Zimmermann and the Nationals are going to make him wait another five days.

Texas 3, NY Yankees 12What Happened Last Night?
In this battle of two first place teams, the Yankees clobbered the Rangers thanks in large part to a seven run fourth inning. Some bad blood came out between ex-teammates, Mark Teixeira and Vicente Padilla. Teixeira was plunked twice by Padilla, and it's understandable that he was upset. I don't think the second beaning was intentional because he was a critical baserunner ahead of A-Rod. Still, Teixeira raised something interesting after the game. Apparently, when these two were teammates, Teixeira would be thrown at by other teams when they wanted to retaliate for Padilla's head hunting on their players. We completely understand that Teix is sick of the sight of Vicente Padilla. Frankly, so are we. We've never been fans of Vicente Padilla. He seems like he has some good stuff and can miss bats, but he never seemed like a very good pitcher. Plus, his reputation doesn't do him any favors.

Pittsburgh 3, NY Mets 1
Zach Duke and the lowly Pirates took down the mighty Johan Santana, with a depleted Mets offense. If the Mets can hang in there and play .500 ball without Reyes, Delgado, Beltran, or Putz contributing at 100%, they should be okay. This team, along with the Blue Jays, seem to be most decimated by injuries.

Boston 5, Detroit 1

Dicec-K and the powerful Red Sox humbled Rick Porcello and the first place Tigers last night. This shouldn't be much of a surprise, as it'll take Porcello some experience before he learns how to succeed against a lineup as patient and powerful as Boston's.

Toronto 6, LA Angels 4What Happened Last Night?
Roy Halladay is making, along with Greinke and Verlander, a case for the Cy Young. Last night, Roy upped his record to 9-1 with a 133 pitch complete game victory. Did Cito Gaston need to throw him out there for the 9th inning, instead of going to Scott Downs or BJ Ryan? We will never know. Maybe he did need to stick with Doc Halladay to get the win. What we do know, what we'll always have to remember, is that the manager has A LOT more information about his players than we do.

Minnesota 4, Cleveland 3
Kevin Slowey is staying near the top of the wins leaderboard as he improved his record to 8-1 last night. Each team's All Star catcher also went deep in this game as Victor Martinez hit his 9th homerun and Joe Mauer hit his 12th.

Oakland 5, Chi White Sox 0
Vin Mazzaro won his Major League debut by pitching 6 1/3 scoreless innings and letting Jack Cust's run support stand. I don't necessarily have the highest hopes for Mazzaro's future since he only struck out one hitter, while walking four.

LA Dodgers 6, Arizona 5What Happened Last Night?
This was not a pleasant performance for the ESPN/Schlereth family. Fans of the Worldwide Leader probably know Mark Schlereth as an opinionated, former NFL player, neanderthal-ish talking head on NFL Live and SportCenter segments like the coors light cold hard 6-pack and fact or fiction. A few days ago on Mike & Mike in the morning, Mike Greenberg gushed about what a wonderful moment it was for the Schlereth family when young Daniel Schlereth made his debut in front of his parents. Greenie was talking about having dinner with the Schlereth family, knowing Daniel, and having so many warm and fuzzy feelings about this debut. It was enough to make someone want to throw up. I wonder how they all feel now.

In this game, young Daniel came into the bottom of the 8th, with a 5-2 lead, the bases loaded, and 2 out. He gave up a bases clearing double to James Loney to tie it and an RBI single to Casey Blake to completely blow the game.

Philadelphia 10, San Diego 5What Happened Last Night?
Antonio Bastardo won his Major League debut. Jake Peavy had to leave the game after one inning due to a case of the Bobby Hurley's. However, the real story of this game has to be power display by Adrian Gonzalez and Raul Ibanez. Gonzalez leads all of baseball in homeruns, and he hit his 23rd last night. Ibanez has been, by far, the most impressive free agent hitting acquisition of the offseason. He hit two homeruns last night, giving him 19 in this young season. Not enough can be said about the exceptional job that Ibanez is doing for the Phillies. He has switched leagues, but he's such a fine hitter that it hasn't affected him one iota. I can only imagine how much better the Cubs would be if they had Ibanez, or even Adam Dunn, instead of Milton Bradley.

Act Two Begins

If the baseball season can be looked at as a three act play, we would take each two months as an act. In your basic three act structure, Act One is used to introduce the audience to the characters of the play. The audience meets the protagonist, antagonist(s), and secondary characters to the story. What's interesting about a baseball season is that each team has it's own story with their own conflicts, plot twists, and developments. The star of my story may be Lou Piniella, while you may choose Alex Rodriguez, Tim Lincecum, or Theo Epstein to follow.

Before we start rambling, here is a quick snapshot at where we feel the chips will fall at the end of Act Three.

Playoff Teams
National League: Mets, Cubs, Dodgers, & Phillies (wc)
American League: Red Sox, Tigers, Angels, & Yankees (wc)

MVPAct Two Begins
NL: Albert Pujols, Cardinals
AL: Miguel Cabrera, Tigers

Cy Young
NL: Johan Santana, Mets
AL: Zack Greinke, Royals

Rookie of the Year
NL: Colby Rasmus, Cardinals
AL: Rick Porcello, Tigers

Manager of the Year
NL: Tony LaRussa, Cardinals
AL: Ron Washington, RangersAct Two Begins

Postseason Predictions
NLDS
Phillies over Cubs
Dodgers over Mets
NLCS
Dodgers over Phillies
ALDS
Red Sox over Angels
Yankees over Tigers
ALCS
Red Sox over Yankees

2009 World Series
Red Sox over Dodgers

Not much has changed according to our outlook of what will happen come October. We still feel the Red Sox are the cream of the crop. The Yankees have surely impressed this month, while the Blue Jays and Rays have shown flaws and suffered in the standings.

Act Two BeginsThe AL Central is still anyone's division for the taking, except maybe the Indians who look closer and closer to bringing out the white flag trade. They reportedly have Mark DeRosa front and center on the trading block, and the recent disabled list placement of Grady Sizemore and Rafael Betancourt have only fueled speculation that Cleveland is ready to get younger right now. The run differential of teams in this division make the Tigers look like the smart bet to win the division. Being the fans that we are of Jim Leyland, Miguel Cabrera, Justin Verlander, Fernando Rodney, and Rick Porcello makes it that much easier for us to envision them getting some distance between themselves and the Twins, Royals, White Sox, and aforementioned Indians.

The AL West has been a wild, wild mess all season. Only the first place Texas Rangers have a positive run differential. We are still picking the Angels because we feel they have more room for their pitching to improve, while the Rangers may be outperforming their abilities right now. We are also taking into account the fact that Arte Moreno still has money to spend. In this economy, it wouldn't be far fetched to imagine that money can get players even more easily than prospects may be able to this summer. So, why couldn't Matt Holliday go to the Angels? Why can't they end up with Prince Fielder? Garrett Atkins? Rafael Perez? Maybe they'll make a deal for Javier Vazquez. Could they trade someone like Kendry Morales for Javier Vazquez? Someone get Frank Wren on the phone!

Act Two BeginsThe National League postseason outlook also looks relatively unchanged from one month ago. We may have flipped flopped the Mets/Phillies from Division Winner to Wild Card, and that could take place all season. The reason we feel the Mets will come out on top right now is because they probably have the most injuries they'll have all season right now. They are battling with a triple-A lineup that is supplemented by David Wright and a hobbled Carlos Beltran. Also, the Phillies accrued a lot of their early season wins against the Nationals. The Mets have played fewer games versus Washington, so we can expect them to get some of those Wins in the future.

How do we still have the Cubs winning the Central? They absolutely look horrible right now. They are one game over .500 and in 4th place, behind the Brewers, Cardinals, and even Dusty Baker's Reds. What the Brewers are doing is astounding. They are contending, with largely the same team they had last year minus Ben Sheets, C.C. Sabathia, and Rickie Weeks/Ray Durham. They've also gotten very little production out of Corey Hart, but they are still in first place at 30-29. The Cardinals are just a game out of first place, and they keep rolling with an astute manager, the best player in the game, and a 1-2 punch of Wainright and Carpenter that must absolutely stay healthy and effective for them to compete in September.

Act Two BeginsThe West belongs to the Dodgers. If the Giants, D'backs, Padres, or Rockies thought they had some hope after Manny Ramirez got suspended for 50 games, that quickly vanished when Juan Pierre stepped in to perform like George Sisler. In 29 May games, Pierre got 41 hits, 11 walks, 18 RBI, and scored 23 runs, with slash numbers of .369/.435/.504.

Back from Jamaica

Sorry for the long delay since posts. We went on a "scouting" trip to Jamaica and just got back last night. We will try to be more proactive to announce the potential for a longer-than-usual break.

There is a lot to clear out of the notebook, and we haven't forgotten that we need to check back in for how we feel about predicting the final standings, awards, and post-season results. That may not appear in this space until tomorrow.

In the meantime, here is a list of thoughts that may get our brains back into baseball and the pastime's majestic ebb & flow.
Back from Jamaica
  • It's nice to see Matt Wieters make his debut. His first Major League hit was a triple. I'd like to see the list of catchers whos first Major League hits were triples. As a Wieters owner in fantasy, it was great to see him DH on Sunday. Nothing is better than a production Catcher, like Joe Mauer, who DH's on his "day's off". It's such a big difference when comparing guys like this & Victor Martinez to even really good National League catchers who just cannot start more than 130 or 140 games.
  • Almost everyone is hopping on the Rick Porcello bandwagon after he's won his last five starts with a 1.50 ERA. Come on board, there's room for everyone!
  • Back from JamaicaFernando Martinez was called up by the Mets. Our instinct is that he is not ready to be a steady contributor right now. However, he looks like a future star. That being said, all of our credibility goes out the window if we keep drooling over guys like Chris B. Young, Felix Pie, and Dexter Fowler. Dexter still has a chance, right?
  • The Cubs are breaking our hearts. As we will see in our June predictions, we still expect the Cubs to win the division. But, they look awful... like a 70-win team. Sorry, but we can't get excited about guys like Andres Blanco, Jake Fox, and Jason Wadell.
  • Kudos to Roy Oswalt for being the latest 30-something right-handed fireballer to reject the White Sox. We love that no-one wants to be traded there; it makes sense to us.
Thanks for sticking with us during this recent writing drought. Baseball's Act I has basically ended, with the close of the season's second month. We hope to have our June Predictions column up tomorrow. Enjoy tonight's games!